Capital Strategy 2023 to 2028

Last updated 17 August 2023

Introduction

1.1 This capital strategy report gives a high-level overview of how capital expenditure, capital financing and treasury management activity contribute to the provision of local public services along with an overview of how associated risk is managed and the implications for future financial sustainability.

1.2. Decisions made this year on capital and treasury management will have financial consequences for the Council for many years to come. They are therefore subject to both a national regulatory framework and a local policy framework, summarised in this report.

1.3. This report is prepared in line with the requirements of the Chartered Institute of Public Finance and Accountancy’s Prudential Code for Capital Finance in Local Authorities (the Prudential Code).

Capital expenditure and financing

2.1. Capital expenditure is where the council spends money on assets, such as property or vehicles, that will be used for more than one year. In local government this includes spending on assets owned by other bodies, and loans and grants to other bodies enabling them to buy assets.

The council has some limited discretion on what is treated as capital expenditure, for example, land and building assets costing less than £25k are generally not capitalised and are instead charged to revenue in the year of purchase.

2.2. The council’s planned capital expenditure is summarised in the table below. (As highlighted in the budget strategy report, significant slippage is expected between years and this is not reflected in the figures below.)

Table 1: Prudential Indicator: Estimated Capital Expenditure (£m)

n/a 2022 to 2023  2023 to 2024  2024 to 2025 2025 to 2026 
Projects with full external funding 23 0 0 0
Projects with partial external funding 56 3 6 3
Projects with no external funding 70 44 39 35
Total 149 47 45 38

2.3. Service managers bid annually for approval of capital projects.

2.4. The Capital Strategy and Asset Management Group (CSAMG) appraises all bids based on a comparison of service priorities against financing costs and makes proposals to Cabinet. The final capital programme is then presented to Cabinet and then council for approval.

Capital projects with the most beneficial impact on the revenue budget will be prioritised. The council also intends to repurpose assets for better service delivery.

2.5. All capital expenditure must be financed, either from external sources (government grants and other contributions), the council’s own resources (revenue, reserves and capital receipts) or debt (borrowing, leasing and Private Finance Initiative).

Table 2: Capital Financing (£m)

n/a 2022 to 2023  2023 to 2024  2024 to 2025 2025 to 2026 
Grants and contributions 53 2 2 2
Capital receipts applied  0 0 0 0
Reserves 0 0 0 0
Minimum revenue provision (MRP)  10 10 12 13
Other revenue contributions  0 0 0 0
Debt  86 35 31 23
Total  149 47 45 38

2.6. Debt is only a temporary source of finance, since loans and leases must be repaid, and this is therefore replaced over time by other financing, usually from revenue which is known as minimum revenue provision (MRP). Alternatively, proceeds from selling capital assets (known as capital receipts) may be used to replace debt finance.

2.7. The Council’s cumulative outstanding amount of debt finance is measured by the Capital Financing Requirement (CFR). This increases with new debt financed capital expenditure and reduces with MRP and capital receipts used to replace debt. The Council’s estimated CFR is in the following table.

Table 3: Prudential Indicator: Estimated Capital Financing Requirement (£m)

n/a 31 March 2022 Actual  31 March 2023 Forecast  31 March 2024 Budget  31 March 2025 Budget 31 March 2026 Budget 
Capital financing requirement  345 360 400 440 475 

2.8. When a capital asset is no longer needed, it may be sold so that the proceeds, known as capital receipts, can be spent on new assets or to repay debt.

The council is currently also permitted to spend capital receipts on service transformation projects until 2023/24.

2.9. The capital programme does not assume any application of capital receipts as financing at this stage.

A decision about the use of capital receipts will need to be taken by Cabinet as they can either be used to finance new capital expenditure, or flexibly to finance revenue transformation costs.

Treasury management

3.1 Treasury management is concerned with keeping sufficient but not excessive cash available to meet the council’s spending needs, while managing the risks involved.

Surplus cash is invested until required, while a shortage of cash will be met by borrowing, to avoid excessive credit balances or overdrafts in the bank current account.

Borrowing strategy

3.2. The council’s main objective when borrowing is to achieve a low and certain cost of finance while retaining flexibility should plans change in future.

These objectives are often conflicting, and the council therefore seeks to strike a balance between short-term loans and long-term, fixed-rate loans where the future cost is known.

The council does not borrow to invest for the primary purpose of financial return and therefore retains full access to the Public Works Loans Board (PWLB).

3.3. Projected levels of the council’s total outstanding debt, which comprises borrowing, Private Finance Initiative (PFI) liabilities and leases, are shown in the next table and compared with the Capital Financing Requirement.

Table 4: Prudential Indicator: Capital Financing Requirement and Gross Debt (£m)

n/a 31 March 2022 Actual  31 March 2023 Forecast  31 March 2024 Budget  31 March 2025 Budget 31 March 2026 Budget 
Capital financing requirement  345 360 400 440 475
External debt (including PFI and leases)  n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
External borrowing  181 175 215 244 280 
Other debt liabilities  24 23 22 21 20
Total debt  205 198 237 265 300
Internal borrowing  140 162 163 175 175 

3.4. Statutory guidance is that debt should remain below the capital financing requirement, except in the short-term. The council expects to comply with this requirement in the medium-term, as shown in the table above.

3.5. To compare the council’s actual borrowing against an alternative strategy, a liability benchmark has been calculated showing the lowest risk level of borrowing assuming that cash and investment balances are kept to a minimum level of £20m at each year-end. Whilst a useful comparator, constraints on the council’s ability to repay existing borrowing would make it difficult (and costly) to implement this strategy.

The following table shows that the council expects to remain borrowed above its liability benchmark over the medium-term.

Table 5: Borrowing and the Liability Benchmark (£m)

n/a 31 March 2022 Actual  31 March 2023 Forecast  31 March 2024 Budget  31 March 2025 Budget 31 March 2026 Budget 
Outstanding borrowing  181 175 215 244 280
Liability benchmark  6 75 145 199 250 

3.6. The Council is legally obliged to set an affordable borrowing limit (the “authorised limit”) for external debt each year, and to keep it under review. In line with statutory guidance, a lower “operational boundary” is also set as a warning level should debt approach the authorised limit.

Table 6: Prudential Indicator: Authorised Limit and Operational Boundary for External Debt (£m)

n/a 2022 to 2023 limit 2023 to 2024 limit 2024 to 2025 limit 2025 to 2026 limit
Authorised limits n/a n/a n/a n/a
Borrowing 449 420 460 495
PFI and leases 34 35 35 35
Total external debt 483 455 495 530
Operational boundary n/a n/a n/a n/a
Borrowing 429 400 440 475
PFI and leases 29 30 30 30
Total external debt 458 430 470 505 

 

Treasury investments strategy

3.7 Treasury investments arise from receiving cash before it is paid out again. Investments made for service reasons or purely for financial gain are not generally considered to be part of treasury management (see paragraphs 4 and 5 below).

3.8. The council’s policy on treasury investments is to prioritise security and liquidity over yield, that is to focus on minimising risk rather than maximising returns. Cash that is likely to be spent in the near term is invested securely, for example with the Government, other local authorities or selected high quality banks, to minimise the risk of loss. Money that will be held for longer terms is invested more widely, including in bonds, shares and property, to balance the risk of loss against the risk of receiving returns below inflation.

3.9. Both near-term and longer-term investments may be held in pooled funds, where an external fund manager makes decisions on which particular investments to purchase and the council may request its money back at short notice.

n/a 31 March 2022 Actual  31 March 2023 Forecast  31 March 2024 Budget  31 March 2025 Budget 31 March 2026 Budget 
Cash and cash equivalents  46 30 20 20 20
Treasury investments  149 90 70 45 30
Total cash and investments  195 120 90 65 50

3.10. The effective management and control of risk are prime objectives of the council’s treasury management activities. The treasury management strategy therefore sets out various indicators and limits to constrain the risk of unexpected losses.

3.11. Decisions on treasury management investment and borrowing are made daily and are therefore delegated to the Section 151 Officer and staff, who must act in line with the treasury management strategy approved by Council each year. The Audit and Governance Committee is responsible for scrutinising treasury management decisions, and regular reports on treasury management activity are presented to this committee.

3.12. The council’s Treasury Management Strategy, Appendix 4, includes further details of the council’s borrowing and treasury investments.

Investments for service purposes

4.1. The council may make investments to assist local public services, including making loans to or investing in local service providers, including its own subsidiaries.

In light of the public service objective, the council may be willing to take more risk than with treasury investments, however it still plans for such investments to break even after all costs.

Commercial activities

5.1 The council may invest in property or other commercial activities purely or mainly for financial gain, but local authorities must not borrow to invest primarily for financial returns.

As financial return is the main objective, the council may accept a higher level of risk on commercial investments than with treasury investments.

The value and risks of commercial investments must remain proportionate to the size of the council, and contingency plans must be put in place should expected yields not materialise.

Revenue budget implications

6.1. Although capital expenditure is not charged directly to the revenue budget, interest payable on loans and MRP are charged to revenue (gross financing costs), offset by any investment income receivable (net financing costs).

6.2. Estimated financing costs are summarised in the table below and shown as a proportion of the council’s estimated net revenue stream (the amount funded from council tax, business rates and general government grants).

Table 8: Prudential Indicator: Estimated financing costs (£m)

n/a 2022 to 2023 Forecast  2023 to 2024 Budget  2024 to 2025 Budget  2025 to 2026 Budget 
Interest payable  8.3 9.6 10.6 11.6
Minimum revenue provision (MRP) 10.0 10.0 12.0 13.0
Gross financing costs  18.3 19.6 22.6 24.6
Proportion of net revenue stream  5.9% 6.1% 7.0% 7.4%
Less investment income  -3.5 -4.0 -4.0 -4.0
Net financing costs  14.8 15.6 18.6 20.6
Proportion of net revenue stream  4.7% 4.9% 5.7% 6.2%

6.3 Where the council finances capital expenditure by debt, it must put aside resources to repay that debt in later years.

The amount charged to the revenue budget for the repayment of debt is known as Minimum Revenue Provision (MRP) and is calculated with regard to the then Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government’s Guidance on Minimum Revenue Provision (the MHCLG Guidance), most recently issued in 2018.

The MHCLG Guidance requires the council to approve an Annual MRP Statement each year, included as Annex 2 to the Treasury Management Strategy.

6.4. Due to the very long-term nature of capital expenditure and financing, the revenue budget implications of expenditure incurred in the next few years may extend many years into the future. The Section 151 Officer is satisfied that the proposed capital programme is prudent, affordable and sustainable.

Knowledge and skills

7.1. The council employs professionally qualified and experienced staff in senior positions with responsibility for making capital expenditure, borrowing and investment decisions. The council supports junior staff to study towards relevant professional qualifications.

7.2. Where council staff do not have the knowledge and skills required, use is made of external advisers and consultants that are specialists in their field.

This approach is more cost effective than employing such staff directly and ensures that the council has access to knowledge and skills commensurate with its risk appetite.

Arlingclose are employed as the council’s treasury management advisers.

Review

This strategy was last reviewed in 2023.

The next review date is 2027.